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西方制裁俄罗斯普京是最后赢家

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年09月16日 19:04:39
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(据)(法)(国)(《费)(加)(罗)(报)(》网)(站)(10月)(17日)(报)(道)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(和)(西)(方)(的)(相)(互)(制)(裁)(导)(致)(两)(败)(俱)(伤)(。从)(官)(方)(的)(表)(态)(来)(看)(,美)(国)(一)(直)(强)(调)(现)(在)(考)(虑)(解)(除)(对)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(制)(裁)(还)(为)(时)(过)(早)(。巴)(黎)(方)(面)(也)(同)(样)(认)(为)(,目)(前)(彻)(底)(化)(解)(危)(机)(的)(条)(件)(仍)(不)(成)(熟)(。
  然)(而)(,事)(实)(上)(西)(方)(国)(家)(一)(直)(在)(幕)(后)(准)(备)(与)(俄)(关)(系)(实)(现)(“正)(常)(化)(”。奥)(巴)(马)(的)(副)(国)(家)(安)(全)(顾)(问)(布)(林)(肯)(所)(说)(的)(话)(通)(常)(不)(太)(会)(引)(起)(人)(们)(的)(关)(注)(,但)(他)(上)(周)(曾)(在)(伦)(敦)(表)(示)(,如)(果)(俄)(继)(续)(表)(现)(出)(缓)(和)(的)(姿)(态)(,“未)(来)(几)(周)(内)(”可)(以)(就)(解)(除)(制)(裁)(问)(题)(与)(俄)(罗)(斯)(展)(开)(谈)(判)(。
  半)(年)(前)(,白)(宫)(曾)(希)(望)(孤)(立)(普)(京)(,以)(制)(裁)(俄)(对)(克)(里)(米)(亚)(的)(吞)(并)(以)(及)(俄)(军)(队)(对)(乌)(克)(兰)(东)(部)(地)(区)(的)(干)(预)(。
  今)(天)(,白)(宫)(似)(乎)(要)(准)(备)(与)(俄)(展)(开)(合)(作)(,有)(人)(甚)(至)(认)(为)(美)(国)(想)(再)(度)(“重)(启)(”美)(俄)(关)(系)(。
  过)(去)(一)(段)(时)(间)(里)(,“伊)(斯)(兰)(国)(”的)(圣)(战)(者)(在)(伊)(拉)(克)(与)(叙)(利)(亚)(境)(内)(取)(得)(了)(惊)(人)(的)(突)(破)(,他)(们)(将)(西)(方)(人)(质)(斩)(首)(,迫)(使)(美)(国)(总)(统)(再)(度)(在)(伊)(拉)(克)(展)(开)(军)(事)(干)(预)(行)(动)(。这)(一)(战)(略)(突)(变)(使)(国)(际)(危)(机)(的)(等)(级)(次)(序)(发)(生)(了)(变)(化)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(与)(乌)(克)(兰)(危)(机)(的)(重)(要)(性)(因)(此)(下)(降)(。
  除)(了)(那)(些)(把)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(威)(胁)(当)(作)(本)(国)(第)(一)(大)(外)(交)(问)(题)(的)(东)(欧)(国)(家)(外)(,大)(多)(数)(西)(方)(国)(家)(都)(迫)(切)(希)(望)(能)(彻)(底)(结)(束)(与)(莫)(斯)(科)(之)(间)(的)(危)(机)(。巴)(黎)(、伦)(敦)(和)(柏)(林)(都)(希)(望)(保)(住)(自)(己)(在)(俄)(的)(经)(济)(利)(益)(。美)(国)(则)(一)(直)(梦)(想)(着)(如)(何)(从)(欧)(洲)(和)(中)(东)(地)(区)(脱)(身)(。在)(这)(两)(个)(问)(题)(的)(背)(后)(,实)(际)(上)(都)(会)(涉)(及)(美)(俄)(改)(善)(关)(系)(的)(问)(题)(。在)(伊)(朗)(核)(问)(题)(上)(,奥)(巴)(马)(的)(目)(标)(仍)(是)(在)(11月)(24日)(最)(后)(期)(限)(前)(达)(成)(一)(个)(最)(终)(协)(议)(。无)(论)(是)(在)(伊)(核)(问)(题)(还)(是)(叙)(利)(亚)(危)(机)(上)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(都)(能)(发)(挥)(自)(身)(的)(影)(响)(力)(,都)(可)(以)(充)(当)(调)(解)(人)(的)(角)(色)(。
  普)(京)(最)(善)(于)(利)(用)(欧)(洲)(国)(家)(间)(的)(矛)(盾)(与)(分)(歧)(,因)(此)(他)(很)(可)(能)(会)(在)(这)(场)(较)(量)(中)(成)(为)(最)(后)(的)(赢)(家)(。
  当)(然)(,在)(西)(方)(的)(制)(裁)(产)(生)(影)(响)(后)(,普)(京)(的)(立)(场)(也)(开)(始)(有)(所)(后)(退)(,西)(方)(因)(此)(才)(会)(考)(虑)(取)(消)(这)(些)(制)(裁)(。法)(国)(国)(际)(关)(系)(研)(究)(所)(战)(略)(发)(展)(部)(主)(任)(、俄)(问)(题)(专)(家)(托)(马)(·戈)(马)(尔)(表)(示)(:“自)(危)(机)(以)(来)(,俄)(罗)(斯)(人)(似)(乎)(第)(一)(次)(意)(识)(到)(了)(他)(们)(与)(西)(方)(关)(系)(所)(受)(到)(的)(损)(害)(。”
  另)(据)(英)(国)(《金)(融)(时)(报)(》网)(站)(10月)(16日)(消)(息)(,匈)(牙)(利)(外)(长)(西)(亚)(尔)(托)(·彼)(得)(批)(评)(欧)(盟)(制)(裁)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(政)(策)(。他)(质)(疑)(这)(些)(制)(裁)(措)(施)(能)(否)(对)(莫)(斯)(科)(的)(所)(作)(所)(为)(产)(生)(影)(响)(,同)(时)(警)(告)(说)(,中)(欧)(出)(口)(会)(因)(此)(受)(到)(损)(害)(。
  西)(亚)(尔)(托)(的)(言)(论)(表)(明)(,欧)(盟)(各)(成)(员)(国)(在)(制)(裁)(俄)(罗)(斯)(的)(问)(题)(上)(存)(在)(令)(人)(不)(安)(的)(分)(歧)(,也)(表)(明)(各)(国)(普)(遍)(担)(心)(这)(些)(针)(锋)(相)(对)(的)(制)(裁)(措)(施)(会)(影)(响)(欧)(盟)(原)(本)(就)(已)(脆)(弱)(的)(增)(长)(前)(景)(。
  西)(亚)(尔)(托)(在)(接)(受)(本)(报)(记)(者)(采)(访)(时)(说)(:“这)(些)(制)(裁)(没)(有)(让)(我)(们)(在)(乌)(克)(兰)(看)(到)(我)(们)(预)(期)(的)(效)(果)(。与)(此)(同)(时)(,欧)(洲)(经)(济)(受)(到)(了)(损)(害)(,而)(中)(欧)(受)(到)(的)(损)(害)(最)(严)(重)(。”
  对)(制)(裁)(感)(到)(不)(安)(的)(并)(非)(只)(有)(西)(亚)(尔)(托)(。8月)(份)(的)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,作)(为)(匈)(牙)(利)(的)(最)(大)(贸)(易)(伙)(伴)(,德)(国)(的)(工)(业)(产)(量)(大)(幅)(度)(下)(降)(。就)(在)(经)(济)(有)(望)(全)(面)(复)(苏)(的)(时)(候)(,这)(些)(数)(据)(令)(人)(担)(心)(制)(裁)(措)(施)(会)(阻)(碍)(欧)(洲)(的)(增)(长)(。
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