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券商新股上市后涨幅空间有限

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年06月25日 12:47:45
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(原)(标)(题)(:券)(商)(新)(股)(上)(市)(后)(涨)(幅)(空)(间)(有)(限)(
  继)(天)(风)(证)(券)(之)(后)(,长)(城)(证)(券)(近)(期)(也)(拿)(到)(了)(上)(市)(批)(文)(,这)(也)(意)(味)(着)(上)(市)(券)(商)(将)(再)(添)(新)(丁)(。然)(而)(,受)(行)(业)(大)(环)(境)(的)(影)(响)(,这)(些)(即)(将)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(股)(上)(半)(年)(的)(经)(营)(业)(绩)(都)(出)(现)(同)(比)(下)(滑)(的)(情)(况)(。尤)(其)(在)(目)(前)(股)(市)(成)(交)(低)(迷)(的)(情)(形)(之)(下)(,券)(商)(股)(短)(期)(的)(业)(绩)(预)(期)(不)(会)(太)(高)(,因)(而)(,券)(商)(新)(股)(上)(市)(后)(可)(能)(不)(会)(受)(到)(投)(资)(者)(的)(太)(多)(追)(捧)(,短)(期)(涨)(幅)(也)(不)(会)(太)(大)(。
通)(常)(而)(言)(,IPO新)(股)(的)(经)(营)(业)(绩)(表)(现)(都)(不)(会)(太)(差)(,比)(如)(在)(上)(市)(当)(年)(或)(者)(前)(几)(年)(都)(能)(保)(持)(业)(绩)(的)(持)(续)(增)(长)(。但)(近)(期)(即)(将)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(新)(股)(们)(却)(并)(非)(如)(此)(,它)(们)(不)(仅)(在)(2017年)(的)(经)(营)(业)(绩)(多)(数)(出)(现)(同)(比)(下)(滑)(的)(情)(形)(,而)(且)(今)(年)(上)(半)(年)(的)(净)(利)(润)(表)(现)(也)(不)(理)(想)(。
从)(IPO发)(行)(市)(盈)(率)(来)(看)(,现)(在)(的)(新)(股)(基)(本)(都)(是)(以)(23倍)(以)(下)(的)(市)(盈)(率)(招)(股)(,券)(商)(新)(股)(的)(发)(行)(市)(盈)(率)(水)(平)(也)(大)(体)(如)(此)(。然)(而)(,目)(前)(已)(经)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(股)(市)(盈)(率)(水)(平)(一)(般)(都)(在)(10或)(者)(20几)(倍)(,这)(就)(是)(说)(,投)(资)(者)(按)(照)(发)(行)(价)(申)(购)(的)(券)(商)(股)(新)(股)(,其)(估)(值)(水)(平)(已)(经)(高)(于)(已)(经)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(股)(。在)(这)(种)(情)(形)(之)(下)(,能)(有)(多)(少)(投)(资)(者)(愿)(意)(去)(二)(级)(市)(场)(接)(盘)(新)(券)(商)(股)(,就)(很)(值)(得)(深)(思)(。
虽)(然)(说)(投)(资)(者)(普)(遍)(预)(期)(股)(市)(将)(会)(在)(未)(来)(逐)(渐)(转)(暖)(,但)(从)(历)(史)(的)(经)(验)(来)(看)(,股)(市)(底)(部)(的)(横)(盘)(时)(间)(可)(能)(会)(很)(长)(,有)(时)(候)(这)(个)(过)(程)(可)(能)(会)(长)(达)(一)(两)(年)(甚)(至)(更)(长)(。而)(在)(这)(盘)(底)(的)(过)(程)(中)(,股)(市)(的)(成)(交)(量)(将)(会)(长)(期)(保)(持)(在)(低)(位)(,那)(么)(券)(商)(的)(经)(纪)(业)(务)(利)(润)(水)(平)(将)(难)(言)(乐)(观)(,对)(于)(类)(似)(长)(城)(证)(券)(等)(十)(分)(依)(赖)(经)(纪)(业)(务)(的)(券)(商)(而)(言)(显)(然)(是)(很)(大)(的)(挑)(战)(。
当)(然)(,在)(目)(前)(投)(资)(者)(打)(新)(的)(惯)(性)(思)(维)(下)(,券)(商)(新)(股)(上)(市)(后)(依)(然)(能)(有)(一)(定)(的)(涨)(幅)(,但)(本)(栏)(认)(为)(涨)(幅)(的)(空)(间)(可)(能)(十)(分)(有)(限)(,毕)(竟)(更)(便)(宜)(的)(券)(商)(股)(比)(比)(皆)(是)(。而)(且)(与)(已)(经)(上)(市)(的)(头)(部)(券)(商)(相)(比)(,近)(期)(上)(市)(的)(新)(股)(券)(商)(盈)(利)(预)(期)(或)(者)(抗)(风)(险)(能)(力)(仍)(存)(在)(较)(大)(差)(距)(,加)(之)(头)(部)(券)(商)(目)(前)(的)(股)(价)(水)(平)(可)(能)(大)(幅)(低)(于)(刚)(刚)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(新)(股)(,因)(而)(投)(资)(者)(选)(择)(性)(价)(比)(更)(高)(的)(头)(部)(券)(商)(股)(的)(概)(率)(会)(很)(大)(,届)(时)(新)(上)(市)(的)(券)(商)(股)(接)(盘)(的)(动)(力)(可)(能)(不)(足)(,将)(直)(接)(影)(响)(上)(市)(后)(的)(股)(价)(表)(现)(。因)(而)(,对)(于)(场)(外)(的)(投)(资)(者)(而)(言)(,追)(涨)(新)(上)(市)(券)(商)(股)(必)(须)(要)(非)(常)(谨)(慎)(,不)(能)(简)(单)(地)(以)(上)(市)(后)(涨)(幅)(不)(大)(、存)(补)(涨)(可)(能)(为)(由)(贸)(然)(买)(入)(上)(市)(券)(商)(新)(股)(。
严)(格)(地)(讲)(,券)(商)(股)(也)(属)(于)(典)(型)(的)(周)(期)(行)(业)(,它)(们)(随)(着)(股)(市)(的)(涨)(涨)(跌)(跌)(而)(出)(现)(利)(润)(的)(波)(峰)(波)(谷)(,因)(而)(,券)(商)(股)(的)(定)(价)(水)(平)(也)(应)(该)(参)(考)(周)(期)(性)(行)(业)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
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